Anthony Downs

Articles by Anthony Downs
Danger Signs Ahead
The 2006 outlook contains both good news about the U.S. economy and disquieting danger signs in property markets. Economic growth will probably slow this
Awash In Capital, But For How Long?
For many months, real estate has been flooded with funds. The resulting Niagara of capital has driven up prices of both housing and commercial properties
Dissecting the Housing Bubble Question
The most widely discussed real estate issue in the United States today boils down to a two-part question: Does a housing bubble in America exist? And
Higher Risks, Lower Returns
Continuing huge inflows of capital into the world's real estate markets are increasing the riskiness of almost all property lending in relation to its
A recipe sure to end the real estate boom
Since 2000, U.S. real estate markets have experienced a great rise in property prices. This first occurred in spite of high vacancy rates and low rents,
Why Selling Assets Now Makes Great Sense
No one can be sure exactly when the market peaks, but we are close enough now to make selling a great idea. When should you sell your properties? This
Why Capital Inflows Could Accelerate
American real estate markets have been flooded with capital from multiple sources that have profoundly affected market conditions. Surprisingly, this
Expect Soaring Home Prices in California to Level Off
Since the beginning of July, I have been living in San Francisco while serving as a Visiting Fellow at the Public Policy Institute of California. I have
Six Ramifications of Higher Interest Rates
We are seeing the end of a 22-year period of mostly falling interest rates that began in 1982. Except for the early 1990s, that period has been favorable
REIT Investors Get the Jitters
The irrational disconnect between the earnings performance of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and their share prices is occurring once again. As
Some Truths About U.S. Job Losses
Job growth is crucial to real estate markets, but knowing the truth about employment today is difficult because of political exaggeration in the presidential
REITs Evolve into Entrepreneurs
Real estate investment trusts (REITs) were originally developed to overcome difficulties that small investors encountered when putting money into commercial
Investor Bias Favors Real Estate in 2004
Prices of well-occupied real properties and REIT shares have done well during the past two years, despite deteriorating space market conditions. One reason
Bracing For A Squeeze Play
As 2003 nears its end, the key issue for commercial real estate is a potential disparity in timing between increases in interest rates and lagging demand
The Problem of Low Interest Rates
With the U.S. Treasury 10-year bond interest rate around 4% and shorter-term rates even lower, most real estate practitioners are rejoicing. But low rates
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