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REITs Ring the Globe
As
more nations enact REIT legislation, a transparent global market
for commercial real estate investment is emerging.
For many years, only a small group of countries outside the United States
provided REITs or REIT-like investment vehicles. Canada, Australia, the Netherlands
and Belgium were among the earliest adopters of American-style REIT legislation,
but recently a host of new members have joined the club, including Japan
(2001), Korea (2001), Singapore (2002), Hong Kong (2003), and France (2003),
as well as Turkey, Malaysia and Costa Rica.
Now come two of the biggest pieces needed to complete a global
REIT market: Germany and Britain. The U.K. is scheduled to
implement REIT legislation on January 1, 2007. “We expect most major U.K. listed property
companies to convert to REIT status when that happens,” predicts
Chris Morris, a law partner at Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer in London.
Germany, with the largest real estate stock in Europe, will
probably follow
by the
end of 2007.

Different Models
The REIT regimes vary in terms of the rules they must
follow. The most significant difference is whether they are structured
to employ internal or external managers – jurisdictions like Japan
and Singapore require external managers, as the U.S. did before
the 1986 Reform Act, which
was enacted to reduce management conflicts and align management
interests with those of shareholders.
All REITs are required to pay out a substantial portion of earnings
in dividend form, but these payouts vary from about 80 to 100
percent. Another variable is the amount of leverage permitted (see
attached table for details).
And, to complicate matters, all these features remain in flux. “Since
many of these regimes are still not very old, they have not yet identified
areas where they will need to adapt or make changes,” says Michael
Grupe, executive vice president of research and investor outreach
at NAREIT.
For example, when REITs were first established in Hong Kong,
the companies were not allowed to own assets that were not
listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange. Those regulations were revised
in June 2005, partly
to accommodate investors who wanted to use Hong Kong’s efficient
markets to access Chinese properties. Korea, where REITs have gotten
off to a slow start, enacted the Revised Indirect Asset Management
Business Act in 2005,
expanding the types of investments REITS could make.
Investor Benefits
Investors have plenty to gain as REITs expand around the world.
U.S. equity investors who used REITs to enhance diversification in their
portfolios were rewarded in the past few years as non-correlated real estate
assets outperformed most corporate shares. Now, those investors can go a
step further, by gaining exposure to real estate on a global basis.
There is little synchronization between real estate returns between
regions, or even within regions, producing a range of share performance and,
potentially, lower risk: In 2006, the compound annual rate of return for
North American real estate has been 13.47%, for Asia 8.22 % and for Europe
22.73% (through June 30), see note 4 according to the EPRA/NAREIT indices.
In 2005, North America returned 13.21%, Asia 23.37% and Europe 9.43. Thus,
as more nations allow publicly traded REITs, investors can pick up wider
exposure, and reduce correlations.
“
Right now, U.S. valuations appear to be approaching a peak, while
Japan, at the opposite end of the cycle, is emerging from years
of deflation,” points
out Scott Crowe, global head of real estate at UBS. Crossing
borders with REIT investing also provides a currency play: “Foreign REITs
perform as a hedge against a weakening dollar,” says Daniel O’Connor,
managing director at San Francisco based GlobalRealAnalytics.
When it comes to demand for the REIT shares, global demographics
favor issuers. Asia and Europe, even more than the U.S., have aging populations
in which retired investors will seek stable sources of income. Real estate,
which also provides protection against inflation offers a useful source.
Important differences remain between the new REITs and those
traded in the U.S. and Australia. “Transparency has increased internationally,
but it has a ways to go, to reach the level found in the U.S., and further
still to that found with Australian listed real estate securities,” says
Dionisio Meneses, Jr., senior portfolio manager at GlobalRealAnalytics.
Australia, he notes, surpasses U.S. in disclosure rules, requiring
REIT issuers to show
shareholders third-party appraisals of their holdings.
Scot Sellers, CEO of Archstone Smith, the largest U.S. apartment
REIT, says foreign property companies often approach him to
learn more about the U.S. model. “Initially, they indicate an instinct not to disclose
is correct to disclose much,” he says. “They are even surprised
when we explain how added information leads to success. Eventually
they think it through, and agree that disclosure works best.”
Greater disclosure and transparency can also lead to greater
stability. For instance, office cycles in mature REIT countries
like Australia and the U.S. have become less volatile because
the publicly-held companies
have to tell shareholders—and their competitors—what they’re
up to. “REITs produce information, which has helped reduce cyclicality,” Crowe
explains.
The spread of REITs may even help global corporations manage
their international portfolios of offices, warehouses and factories,
Sellers predicts. “As publicly traded real estate becomes more viable, they
could spin them off for more money than the carrying value,” he says.
In the U.K., Morris foresees companies using the new REITs
as a way to get real estate off their balance sheets. Ditto for
Germany, where real estate
assets are already being revalued (upward) in anticipation
of the coming legislation.
Small World
The REIT pie will keep getting bigger. Already, the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT
Global Real Estate Index represents $720 billion in market
capitalization, with 321 publicly traded companies. Three years ago the
index
included 227 companies, with a combined market cap of $ 332
billion. But that may be just
the start: “Half of the world’s balance sheet is real estate,
but only about 8% is listed,” says Crowe.
Grupe of NAREIT expects to see cross-border action by the REITs
themselves as more nations adopt the investment structures.
A liquid public market in REIT shares will make it easier for them
to become global operators, “more
like GE or Coke,” he says.
“
We are at the dawn of a huge structural change,” says Crowe. “For
the first time, we can invest in liquid and transparent entities
across the world.”
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