The Pace of Retail Development Remains Anemic

In recent weeks, developers have announced plans to build a fortress mall in New Jersey, a large mixed-use center in Boston and dozens of smaller grocery-anchored centers, among other projects.

With retail sales improving and demand for space firming up, is the market for development beginning to heat up?

Not exactly.

Since the turnaround time for new projects is usually 18 months or longer, many of the developers announcing projects today are reviving centers that were on the drawing board prior to the downturn. Those projects have been put on the backburner in 2009 and 2010 to allow time for retail vacancies to stabilize.

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There has been $30.3 billion in new CMBS issuance to date in 2013, according to Commercial Mortgage Alert. That puts the industry on pace to smash last year’s volume of $48.4 billion and will make 2013 the busiest year for CMBS issuance since 2007. Where do you think total CMBS issuance volume will end up in 2013?

 

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