Retail Space Demand Turning Positive in 2011
As the specter of Black Friday and now
Cyber Monday kick off the formal 2011 holiday shopping season, a new
report suggests that retail real estate has a fairly bright future in
the months and years ahead. In fact, the U.S. retail real estate sector’s availability rate is
expected to drop to 12.7% by the end of 2011, according to new analysis
from CBRE Econometric Advisors (CBRE-EA). CBRE-EA forecasts that the ongoing pick-up in retail sales
combined with limited supply will slowly decrease the national
availability rate for neighborhood and community centers. (NOTE: Availability is space that is actively being marketed and available for tenant build-out within 12 months.) According to CBRE-EA's upcoming Annual Trends 2011
report, retail demand for space in 2011 will be positive for the first
time since 2007. However, the increase is expected to be modest and
high availability will keep pressure on rents until 2012, when retail
center owners should finally have enough momentum to increase rents.
However, historic rent growth figures (above 3%) will not return until 2013. As of third-quarter 2010, retail availability was 13.0%.
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© 2012 Penton Media Inc.
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