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Brad Doremus

Senior Analyst

Bradley Doremus is an associate in the research and economics department at Reis, the team responsible for the firm’s market forecasting, valuation and portfolio analytics services. Before joining Reis, Brad was an investment analyst in the research group at Portfolio Evaluations Inc., a New Jersey-based pension consultant. He was responsible for researching and performing due diligence for a broad range of mutual funds and alternative investment vehicles.

Where is the Demand for Office?
The national office vacancy rate remained unchanged from the first to the second quarter, mired at 16.6 percent and moving down just 30 basis points over the past 12 months. Monthly job growth has been choppy as of late, though recent months have been more heartening. And while we still expect an uptick in economic activity over the course of the year, GDP growth projections have generally been ratcheted downwards. This implies another year of slow, but hopefully steady, improvement in office fundamentals.
Don’t Expect Multifamily Rents Alone to Catalyze Higher Inflation
Analysts are parsing the words of the Federal Reserve with fervor as we approach what many believe will be the first interest rate increase since 2006 before the end of this year.
Retail Sector Has a Tough First Quarter, Faces Longer-Term Obstacles
The first quarter was marked by weak economic activity, largely attributable to a confluence of temporary factors, such as port labor disputes on the West Coast, inclement weather, a rising dollar crimping exports and low energy prices resulting in depressed business investment.
Multifamily Developers Favor Downtown, But Suburbia Holds Its Own
In the midst of the Great Recession, vacancy in the multifamily sector hit a cyclical high of 8.0 percent. Vacancy now stands at 4.2 percent as of the end of the first quarter. What these figures don’t reveal is whether a disparity exists between the urban and suburban markets.
Soft Economic Growth Hinders First Quarter Industrial Results
Demand for industrial real estate registered a marked pullback, associated with a sharp drop in new construction during the first quarter of 2015.
Office Market Shows Signs of Life, But How Widespread Are These Improvements?
While the headline figures appear promising, a small number of markets are driving performance, while many others struggle to generate any meaningful rent growth.
Low Energy Prices’ Impact on CRE May Be Negligible
Not surprisingly, the decline in the price of oil will have a negative impact on energy-oriented economies around the country. However, this will only slow growth in major metro areas, not drive them into recession.
A Structural Shift in the Retail Market?
Improvements in the retail sector in the fourth quarter were once again tepid. The national vacancy rate for neighborhood and community centers declined by just 10 basis points, to 10.2 percent, a slight improvement from the third quarter when vacancy remained unchanged.
Industrial Demand Slows Slightly, but Recovery Not in Jeopardy
Third quarter industrial results affirmed the continuation of a slow but steady recovery.
Once Again, Office Vacancy Rate Doesn’t Budge
The national vacancy rate for the office sector remained unchanged at 16.8 percent in the third quarter. The vacancy has not budged all year, wedged at a level that is only 80 basis points below the cyclical high observed four years ago.
Despite Improving Economy, Retail Still Years Away From Full Recovery
With the recoveries in GDP and the labor market only recently accelerating, retail has lacked a serious driver of growth, and the pace of vacancy compression reflects this. However, the sector is not retrenching, and the recent improvement in the economy portends a more robust recovery in the future, though not in the near term.
The Current State of the Seniors Housing Market 
Within the last 15 years, seniors housing went from being a small property niche to one of the key secondary property types in commercial real estate. In this column, we will use newly introduced seniors housing data from Reis to take a look at the current state of the market.
Multifamily Vacancy Compression Stalls in the Second Quarter 
The national vacancy rate remained unchanged at 4.1 percent during the second quarter, a potentially worrisome result for those who fret about the near-term future of the apartment sector. As we explain in this column, this is not unexpected, and a moderation in the brisk pace of improvement in fundamentals has been built into our forecasts for some time.
Industrial Leasing Activity Strong in the Second Quarter 
Relatively more robust economic activity during the second quarter appeared to benefit the industrial sector as fundamentals improved at a modestly quicker pace.
Incremental Improvements in the Office Market Are No Longer a Surprise 
The national vacancy rate for the office sector fell to 16.8 percent in the second quarter, a 10 basis point decline over the first quarter of the year. This is in line with trends witnessed over the last three and a half years.
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